Sean Lyngaas writes IARPA highlighted a crowd-sourced aggregative contingent estimation program as a tool to predict world events.
IARPA also held a tournament in which five teams combined predictions from thousands of analysts worldwide and measure the probability of an event, according to the report.
Lyngaas writes academics, intelligence contractors and entrepreneurs attended IARPAâs first public industry event in College Park, Maryland, on Oct. 29 and 30.